A wee bet for those of you so inclined.

A forum to air your views on Offaly GAA matters and beyond.
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Lone Shark
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A wee bet for those of you so inclined.

Post by Lone Shark »

Needless to say those under 18 should look away, because gambling is evil don't you know .... :P

James Young, 12/1 to be top Scorer in the Hurling Championship with bet365. This is a cracking bet, and a mistake, because of the new championship format. Think about it logically - he averaged seven points per game in the league for Laois. He scored 1-9 yesterday against Dublin. From here on he'll play a Leinster semi against Wexford, three qualifier group games, and probably one relegation playoff. At least five games, maybe more allowing for losing the relegation semi, or a replay. If we allow him a conservative six points per game - that's a total of 42.

Now look at the favourite, Henry Shefflin, in at 3/1. Will have a semi against Offaly, a Leinster final, and probably 3 games further if KK reach an All Ireland final. 8 points a game and he still finishes below Young. And this is giving him a full run to the final and all the frees, some of which may be taken by Larkin. Likewise Joe Deane. A maximum of four games to come, with only six in the bag, and he's trading at sixes. Lunacy.

A lot of you who know me know that I have a gambling background, and this is the best bet I've seen so far this year. Well worth a few pence.

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Lone Shark
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Price now gone.

Post by Lone Shark »

I hope a few of you took this, because they've now cut the price.

You can still get 10/1 with Boylesports if you want. Still worth backing at that in my opinion.

juteman
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Post by juteman »

This bet makes loads of sense and Juteman will be punting.
JUTEMAN

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TheManFromFerbane
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Post by TheManFromFerbane »

Right LS I went with you and put my life savings (bout 36 cent and a button) on him, just wondering what do you reckon about replays or one of the Down or Antrim lads contesting him? also TJ Ryan scored 1-7 the first day against Tip, (i think), dont know what he scored in the second game but does he mess up your plans?

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Lone Shark
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Young

Post by Lone Shark »

Down won't play in the All Ireland Championship, so that makes it unlikely they'll have a high scorer, and even against New York no Antrim scorer had more than four points. They tend to spread their scoring a lot, so they won't have the same one person focus.

TJ is a consideration, and I think he got four points the second day as well - but truth be told I expect Limerick to play four more games, and him to score about 25 - and that's giving him one game against cannon fodder where he gets 10. He's not a heavy scorer, and Limerick don't win a huge amount of frees, Shaughnessy notwithstanding.

The biggest danger is Eoin Kelly - 14 points in the bag and the potential to have another 6 or 7 and still end up in the qualifiers - he is the true favourite - but I couldn't have him at his current price, and if Tipp beat Clare he misses out on the chance to hockey a Dublin or an Antrim.

I make Eoin Kelly about 5/2, Young about 7/2 or 4/1. It's far from nailed on, but great value at tens.

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TheManFromFerbane
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Post by TheManFromFerbane »

Sure if it was nailed down there would be no fun in it!!! Actually no scrap that I want my money!! :lol:

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Ron
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Offaly vs Laois (Leix)

Post by Ron »

Well I'm not usually inclined but I think that at odds of 15/8 a few bob on Offaly this weekend would be well worth it. Its more even than that!

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